According to a recent analysis report by Ernst & Young (EY), the German automotive industry has suffered severe shocks over the past year, with job cuts exceeding 50,000, making it the hardest-hit industrial sector in the country. This grim situation not only reflects the practical challenges facing German manufacturing but has also sparked widespread discussions about whether Germany is undergoing "deindustrialization."
Data from the report shows that as of June 30, 2025, total employment in Germany's industrial sector stood at 5.42 million, a 2.1% decrease year-on-year, meaning approximately 114,000 jobs were cut over the past year. Compared to 2019, before the COVID-19 pandemic, industrial employment has shrunk by roughly 245,000, a decline of 4.3%. Among all industrial sectors, the automotive industry has faced the most severe job cuts, shedding approximately 51,500 positions over the past year, accounting for about 7% of the industry's total workforce.
Meanwhile, the German auto industry is also grappling with declining revenues, which fell 1.6% year-on-year. This downturn is primarily driven by sluggish sales, intensifying competition from Chinese automakers, and rising cost pressures associated with the transition to electric vehicles (EVs). Looking at overall industrial data, German industrial revenues dropped by 2.1% in the second quarter, marking the eighth consecutive quarter of decline. The EY report notes that, with the exception of the electrical industry, revenues across all industrial sectors have decreased to varying degrees.
Jan Brorhilker, Managing Partner at EY, analyzed that the predicament facing German industry is the result of multiple compounding factors: "German industry is not only burdened by high energy costs, complex bureaucracy, and weak domestic demand, but also by the heavy toll of tariff disputes with the United States." The high-tariff policies implemented by the Trump administration have reduced the price competitiveness of German products in the U.S. market, leading to a significant drop in exports to the U.S. Simultaneously, German automakers face fierce competition from local Chinese brands in the Asian market, resulting in a decline in exports to China.
In response to the severe situation, major German automakers and parts suppliers have rolled out cost-cutting measures. OEMs such as Mercedes-Benz and Volkswagen, as well as suppliers like Bosch, Continental, and ZF, have all announced cost-reduction plans. Porsche even plans to significantly scale down the operations of its battery subsidiary, Cellforce. Brorhilker pointed out, "Plummeting profits, overcapacity, and weak overseas market demand have made large-scale layoffs an inevitable choice, especially in Germany, which concentrates a vast number of management, administrative, and R&D functions."
Beyond the automotive sector, the mechanical engineering and metal production industries have not been spared. Over the past year, the mechanical engineering sector has lost approximately 17,000 jobs, while metal production has seen a reduction of around 12,000 positions. Relatively speaking, job losses in the chemical and pharmaceutical industries have been limited.
This round of adjustments in German industry reflects profound changes in the global automotive landscape. On one hand, traditional automakers face dual challenges of technological iteration and cost control during their EV transition. On the other hand, the rise of trade protectionism has exacerbated uncertainty in international market competition. For the German economy, which is heavily reliant on exports, balancing industrial transformation with international market expansion will be a critical issue for future development.
Industry insiders suggest that the structural adjustment of the German auto industry may continue for some time. Companies need to further optimize their global production layouts while maintaining their technological edge to cope with the ever-changing international trade environment and market competition. At the government level, it is necessary to create more favorable conditions for industrial transformation and upgrading by improving energy supply, streamlining administrative processes, and supporting R&D innovation.
This wave of layoffs will not only directly impact the German labor market but may also trigger a chain reaction affecting the stability of the European automotive supply chain. As one of the engines of the European economy, the adjustments in Germany's auto industry will influence the entire region's industrial ecosystem, making its transformation path and outcomes worthy of continuous attention.